Chronology

The crisis — 2026

Select any date to open the record for that day. Established facts, reported accounts, allegations and unresolved questions are kept separate and are not merged.

1. 30 March 2026First major confrontationThe first major armed confrontation recorded by this documentation.Open the record
   Evidence status: Verified fact

   What is established

   • A major confrontation took place on this date.

   Evidence status: Multiple-source reporting

   What was reported

   • Multiple accounts circulated describing armed exchanges and disruption to normal movement in the affected area.

   Evidence status: Political claim / allegation

   What was alleged

   • Each side publicly attributed responsibility for initiating the confrontation to the other.

   Evidence status: Unknown / unverified

   What remains unknown

   • Which party initiated the exchange.
   • The chain of command and any orders given.
   • Verified casualty figures, civilian or military.
2. 30 May 2026Second major confrontationA second major confrontation, two months after the first.Open the record
3. 17–18 August 2026Major confrontationA major confrontation spanning two days.Open the record
4. 3 September 2026Baidoa confrontationConfrontation in Baidoa, the capital of South West Somalia.Open the record
5. 4 September 2026Reported Doolow incident, GedoA reported incident in Doolow, Gedo region. Attribution is not independently established.Open the record